Wednesday, December 9, 2009

E X T R E M E M A R K E T C O M M E N T A R Y

The STOCK INDEXES http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=indexes

The March NASDAQ 100 closed lower on Tuesday and below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1781.60 signaling that a
short-term top has likely been posted. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday.
Stochastics and the RSI are diverging and are turning bearish hinting that a double top with November's high might have been
posted last Friday. Closes below the reaction low crossing at 1719.75 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been
posted. If March extends this fall's rally, the 75% retracement level of the 2007-2008-decline on the weekly continuation chart
crossing at 1947.00 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 1813.75. Second resistance is the
75% retracement level of the 2007-2008-decline crossing at 1947.00. First support is today's low crossing at 1758.50. Second
support is the reaction low crossing at 1719.75.

The March S&P 500 index gapped down and closed below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1094.66 on Tuesday
signaling that a short-term top has likely been posted. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on
Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging and are turning bearish signaling that additional weakness is possible near-
term. Closes below the reaction low crossing at 1073.00 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March
renews this fall's rally, the 62% retracement level of the 2007-2008-decline crossing at 1155.15 is the next upside target. First
resistance today's gap crossing at 1096.00. Second resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 1114.00. First support is today's
low crossing at 1083.00. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 1073.00.

The Dow closed sharply lower due to profit taking on Tuesday and below the 20-day moving average crossing at 10363
signaling that a short-term top has likely been posted. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on
Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below
the reaction low crossing at 10231 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If the Dow renews this year's
rally, the 62% retracement level of the 2007-2008-decline crossing at 11249 is the next upside target. First resistance is last
Friday's high crossing at 10516. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the 2007-2008-decline crossing at 11249.
First support is today's low crossing at 10249. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 10231.

NTEREST RATES http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=interest

March T-bonds closed up 17/32's at 119-21.

March T-bonds closed higher on Tuesday due to short covering as it consolidated some of last Friday's decline. Despite the
rally of the past two days, March remains below the 20-day moving average crossing at 120-04. The mid-range close sets the
stage for a steady opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are
possible near-term. If March renews last week's decline, November's low crossing at 117-10 is the next downside target. Closes
above the 10-day moving average crossing at 120-27 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First
resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 120-04. Second resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 120-27.
First support is last Friday's low crossing at 118-17. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 117-10.
ENERGY MARKETS
http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=energy

January crude oil closed lower on Tuesday as it extends last week's decline. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to
lower opening on Wednesday. If January extends the decline off October's high, the 75% retracement level of this fall's rally
crossing at 70.23 is the next downside target. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 79.04 are needed to confirm that a
short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 76.08. Second resistance is the 20-day
moving average crossing at 77.37. First support is the reaction low crossing at 72.39. Second support is the 75% retracement
level of this fall's rally crossing at 70.23.

January heating oil closed lower on Tuesday as it extends this week's decline. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to
lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible
near-term. If January renews the decline off October's high, the 75% retracement level of this fall's rally crossing at 186.43 is
the next downside target. Closes above last Tuesday's high crossing at 209.68 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has
been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 202.73. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average
crossing at 203.97. First support is the reaction low crossing at 191.03. Second support is the 75% retracement level of this
fall's rally crossing at 186.43.

January unleaded gas closed lower on Tuesday while continuing to extend the late-fall trading range. The low-range close sets
the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower
prices are possible near-term. If January extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 188.90 is the next downside
target. From a broad perspective, January needs to close above October's high crossing at 211.73 or below the reaction low
crossing at 188.90 to confirm a breakout of the aforementioned trading range and point the direction of the next trending move.
First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 198.15. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at
199.23. First support is today's low crossing at 191.19. Second support is November's low crossing at 188.90.

January Henry natural gas closed higher on Tuesday as it extended Monday's rally above the 20-day moving average. The high-
range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bullish signaling
that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If January extends this week's rally, the reaction high crossing at 5.290 is
the next upside target. If January renews this year's decline, weekly support crossing at 4.157 is the next downside target. First
resistance is today's high crossing at 5.152. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 5.290. First support is the 20-day
moving average crossing at 4.827. Second support is last Thursday's low crossing at 4.432.
CURRENCIES

The March Dollar closed higher on Tuesday as it extended last Friday's rally but remains above the 20-day moving average.
The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish
signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends its current rally, November's high crossing at
77.27 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at 75.43 would temper the near-term friendly
outlook in the Dollar. First resistance is today's high crossing at 76.61. Second resistance is November's high crossing at 77.27.
First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 75.55. Second support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 75.43.

The March Euro closed sharply lower on Tuesday as it extends last week's breakout below the 20-day moving average crossing
at 149.346. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish
signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends this week's decline, November's low crossing
at 146.250 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 149.557 would confirm that a
short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 149.346. Second resistance is the 10-
day moving average crossing at 149.557. First support is today's low crossing at 146.750. Second support is November's low
crossing at 146.250.

The March British Pound closed sharply lower on Tuesday as it extends last week's decline. The low-range close sets the stage
for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are
possible near-term. If March extends this week's decline, October's low crossing at 1.5718 is the next downside target. Closes
above the reaction high crossing at 1.6731 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day
moving average crossing at 1.6509. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.6580. First support is today's
low crossing at 1.6245. Second support is October's low crossing at 1.5718.

The March Swiss Franc closed lower on Tuesday as it extended last Friday's decline. The low-range close sets the stage for a
steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible
near-term. If March extends this decline, November's low crossing at .9690 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-
day moving average crossing at .9925 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day
moving average crossing at .9904. Second resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at .9925. First support is today's
low crossing at .9729. Second support is November's low crossing at .9690.

The March Canadian Dollar closed lower due to profit taking on Tuesday and the low-range close sets the stage for a steady to
lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-
term. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 96.08 or below 92.80 are needed to confirm a breakout of November's trading
range and point the direction of the next trending move. First resistance is last Tuesday's high crossing at 96.08. Second
resistance is October's high crossing at 97.92. First support is the reaction low crossing at 93.00. Second support is the reaction
low crossing at 92.80.

The March Japanese Yen closed higher due to short covering on Tuesday as it consolidated some of last Friday's decline but
remains below the 10-day moving average crossing at .11374. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening
on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that additional weakness is possible. If March extends last
week's decline, October's low crossing at .10847 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing
at .11374 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at .11348.
Second resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at .11374. First support is last Friday's low crossing at .11024.
Second support is October's low crossing at .10847.

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PRECIOUS METALS
http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=metals

February gold closed sharply lower on Tuesday and below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1156.80 to confirm that a
short-term top has been posted. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and
the RSI are bearish signaling that additional weakness is possible near-term. If February extends this week's decline, the
reaction low crossing at 1102.60 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 1180.90 are
needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 1180.90.
Second resistance is last Thursday's high crossing at 1227.50. First support is today's low crossing at 1125.30. Second support
is the reaction low crossing at 1102.60.

March silver closed sharply lower on Tuesday and below the previous reaction low crossing at 17.720 confirming that a short-
term top has been posted. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the
RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends today's decline, the reaction
low crossing at 17.070 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 18.633 would temper
the near-term bearish outlook. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 18.633. Second resistance is last
Thursday's high crossing at 19.500. First support is today's low crossing at 17.560 Second support is the reaction low crossing
at 17.070.

March copper posted a key reversal down on Tuesday and closed below the 10-day moving average crossing at 319.77 signaling
that a short-term top has likely been posted. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday.
Stochastics and the RSI are turning bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-
day moving average crossing at 313.62 are needed to confirm that a top has been posted. If December extends this year's rally,
the 87% retracement level of the 2008-decline crossing at 347.94 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Friday's high
crossing at 327.50. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the 2008-decline crossing at 347.94. First support is
today's low crossing at 314.05. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 313.62.
FOOD & FIBER
http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=food

March coffee closed lower due to profit taking on Tuesday as it consolidated some of Monday's high, which tested October's
high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought
and turning bearish hinting that a double top might be forming or is in place. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing
at 13.94 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If December extends this week's rally, June's high
crossing at 14.85 is the next upside target.

March cocoa posted an inside day with a lower close on Tuesday as it consolidated some of Monday's rally. The mid-range
close sets the stage for a steady opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning neutral to
bearish hinting that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 32.61 are
needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March extends this rally, October's high crossing at 34.39 is the next
upside target.

March sugar closed lower due to profit taking on Tuesday as it extends the decline below the 10-day moving average crossing at
22.58. The low-range close set the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning
bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes above 24.00 or below 21.18 are needed to clear
up near-term direction in the market.

March cotton closed lower due to profit taking on Tuesday the low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on
Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March
renews this fall's rally, the 62% retracement level of the 2008-decline crossing at 80.83 is the next upside target. Closes below
the 20-day moving average crossing at 73.37 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted.
GRAINS
http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=grains

March Corn closed up 1 1/4-cents at 3.85.

March corn posted an inside day with a higher close on Tuesday due to short covering as it consolidated some of the current
decline. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish
signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends this decline, trading range support crossing at
3.77 1/2 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 4.05.1/2 would temper the near-term
bearish outlook. Closes above 4.24 1/2 or below 3.77 1/2 are needed to confirm a trading range breakout and point the direction
of the next trending move. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 4.01. Second resistance is the 20-day
moving average crossing at 4.05 1/2. First support is Monday's low crossing at 3.82 1/2. Second support is the reaction low
crossing at 3.77 1/2.

March wheat closed down 8 1/4-cents at 5.39 3/4.

March wheat gapped down and closed lower on Tuesday as it extends the decline off November's high. The low-range close sets
the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower
prices are possible near-term. If March extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 5.16 1/2 is the next downside
target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 5.68 3/4 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been
posted. First resistance is today's gap crossing at 5.47 1/2. Second resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 5.66.
First support is today's low crossing at 5.37. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 5.16 1/2.

March Kansas City Wheat closed down 4-cents at 5.33.

March Kansas City Wheat closed lower on Tuesday as it extends the decline off November's high. The mid-range close sets the
stage for a steady opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are
possible near-term. If March extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 5.18 is the next downside target. Closes
above the 20-day moving average crossing at 5.61 1/4 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is
the 10-day moving average crossing at 5.56. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 5.61 1/4. First support
is today's low crossing at 5.30 1/2. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 5.18.

March Minneapolis wheat closed down 6-cents at 5.48 1/4.

March Minneapolis wheat closed lower on Tuesday as it extends the decline off November's high. The low-range close sets the
stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that additional weakness is
possible near-term. If March extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 5.33 is the next downside target. Closes
above the 20-day moving average crossing at 5.74 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the
10-day moving average crossing at 5.69 1/2. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 5.74. First support is
today's low crossing at 5.46 3/4. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 5.33.

SOYBEAN COMPLEX

January soybeans closed down 9-cents at 10.44.

January soybeans closed lower due to profit taking on Tuesday as it consolidated some of Monday's rally. Selling pressure from
outside markets weighed on soybean prices today and the low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on
Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish hinting that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below
the 20-day moving average crossing at 10.30 1/4 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If January renews this
fall's rally, June's high crossing at 11.04 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Tuesday's high crossing at 10.78.
Second resistance is June's high crossing at 11.04. First support is last Friday's low crossing at 10.31. Second support is the
20-day moving average crossing at 10.30 1/4.

March soybean meal closed down $3.20 at $305.00.

March soybean meal closed lower due to profit taking on Tuesday and the low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower
opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term.
Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 299.70 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If
March renews this fall's rally, June's high crossing at 333.00 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Tuesday's high
crossing at 313.50. Second resistance is June's high crossing at 333.00. First support is last Wednesday's low crossing at
300.50. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 299.70.

March soybean oil closed down 16 pts. at 40.91.

March soybean oil closed lower on Tuesday due to spillover weakness from the rest of the soybean complex and lower energy
and precious metal prices. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the
RSI remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving
average crossing at 40.37 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March renews this fall's rally, June's
high crossing at 41.80 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Tuesday's high crossing at 41.74. Second resistance is
June's high crossing at 41.80. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 40.37. Second support is last Thursday's
low crossing at 40.26.
LIVESTOCK
http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=livestock

February hogs closed down $1.430 at $65.13.

February hogs gapped down and closed lower due to profit taking on Tuesday signaling that a short-term top has likely been
posted. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling
that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 64.92 are needed to
confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March renews this fall's rally, the 62% retracement level of the 2008-2009-
decline crossing at 70.67 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 66.52. Second
resistance is the reaction high crossing at 68.05. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 64.92. Second support
is today's low crossing at 64.70.

February bellies closed down $0.83 at $83.70.

February bellies closed lower due to profit taking on Tuesday as it consolidated some of Monday's rally. The high-range close
sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bullish signaling that a low
might be in or is near. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 85.60 are needed to confirm that a low has been
posted. If February renews this fall's decline, the reaction low crossing at 79.25 is the next downside target. First resistance is
the 20-day moving average crossing at 85.60. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 87.40. First support is last
Friday's low crossing at 80.50. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 79.25.

February cattle closed down $0.18 at 83.13.

February cattle closed lower on Tuesday ending a two-day short covering rally. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady
to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold and are turning neutral to bullish hinting that a low might
be in or is near. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 84.93 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been
posted. If February extends this fall's decline, weekly support crossing at 81.80 is the next downside target. First resistance is
the 10-day moving average crossing at 84.41. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 84.93. First support
is last Thursday's low crossing at 82.75. Second support is weekly support crossing at 81.80.

January feeder cattle closed down $0.80 at $92.05.

January Feeder cattle gapped down and closed lower on Tuesday as it extended the decline off last week's high. The low-range
close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bearish hinting that
sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the reaction low crossing at 91.90 would temper the friendly
outlook. If January renews last week's rally, gap resistance crossing at 94.68 is the next upside target.


____________________________________________________________________________

E X T R E M E F U T U R E S
____________________________________________________________________________

Updated every 10 minutes around the clock.
More at
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WINNERS

BCX.Q10 CBOT SOYBEAN CRUSH INDEX Aug 2010 69.00 4.00 +5.95
NG.F10 NATURAL GAS Jan 2010 5.114 0.143 +2.88
JY.H10 JAPANESE YEN Mar 2010 0.011328 0.000143 +1.28
LH.Z09 LEAN HOGS Dec 2009 62.675 0.475 +0.76
NI.H10 10 YEAR INT RATE SWAP Mar 2010 102.828125 0.625000 +0.61
TY.H10 10 YEAR T-NOTES Mar 2010 118.781250 0.578125 +0.49
US.H10 T-BONDS Mar 2010 119.65625 0.53125 +0.45
NG.H10 5 YEAR INT RATE SWAP Mar 2010 106.000000 0.421875 +0.40
YC.N10 CORN (MINI) Jul 2010 405.75 1.50 +0.37
C.N10 CORN Jul 2010 405.75 1.50 +0.37

LOSERS

NGX.Z09 5 YEAR INT RATE SWAP (IMPLIED YLD) Dec 2009 2.70879 -0.14687 -5.14
BCX.H11 CBOT SOYBEAN CRUSH INDEX Mar 2011 68.75 -2.25 -3.25
SI.H10 SILVER Mar 2010 17.807 -0.553 -3.01
NIX.Z09 10 YEAR INT RATE SWAP (IMPLIED YLD) Dec 2009 3.65974 -0.10781 -2.86
MP.Z09 MEXICAN PESO Dec 2009 0.077100 -0.001850 -2.34
LB.F10 LUMBER (RANDOM LENGTH) Jan 2010 214.0 -5.0 -2.28
LH.G10 LEAN HOGS Feb 2010 65.125 -1.425 -2.14
RR.H10 ROUGH RICE Mar 2010 15.57 -0.31 -1.96
CL.F10 CRUDE OIL Jan 2010 72.62 -1.31 -1.78
GC.G10 GOLD Feb 2010 1143.4 -20.6 -1.77

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E X T R E M E S T O C K S
____________________________________________________________________________

Updated every 10 minutes around the clock.
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WINNERS

QDHC QUADRAMED CORP 8.31 1.90 +29.64
SGMA SIGMATRON INTL INC 5.360 0.920 +20.72
NLST NETLIST 5.30 0.76 +16.74
CPD CARACO PHARM LABS 6.06 0.82 +15.65
TLB TALBOTS INC (THE) 8.2196 1.0096 +14.00
SCSS SELECT COMFORT CORP 5.6415 0.6315 +12.60
PGE.PR.B PRIME GROUP REALTY PR B 6.30 0.60 +10.53
WAHUQ WASHINGTON MUTUAL UNITS 12.26 1.10 +9.86
III IMPERIAL METALS CORP 12.48 1.08 +9.47
CLW CLEARWATER PAPER CORP 54.77 4.33 +8.58

LOSERS

AUTC AUTOCHINA INTL 19.8000 -5.2000 -20.80
IPSU IMPERIAL SUGAR CO 15.0375 -3.2025 -17.56
EFUT E-FUTURE INFORMATION TCH 6.8094 -1.3606 -16.65
AUTCW AUTOCHINA INTL WTS 13 14.845 -2.905 -16.37
SLW.WS.B SILVER WHEATON CORP 6.39 -0.91 -12.47
KR KROGER CO (THE) 20.12 -2.73 -11.95
CG CENTERRA GOLD INC 11.19 -1.41 -11.19
CYD CHINA YUCHAI INT LTD 14.8599 -1.8301 -10.97
ERIAF ERICSSON LM TEL AKTA 9.66 -1.19 -10.97
TRGL TOREADOR RESOURCES CORP 8.460 -1.030 -10.85

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