20 Dividend Stocks With A 20% Yield In 20 Years

There are income investors and Dividend Growth investors. While the distinction is rather simple, it slips past many casual observers. Income investors are investing for maximum current income, while dividend growth investors are looking to maximize income over an extended period of time — usually sacrificing current income for potential greater future earnings.

Often when I write about a stock that is yielding 2%, 3% or even 4%, I get a question that goes something like, “Why would you buy that stock when there are better options like ‘Amalgamated Risk?’ Its currently yielding 7%, 8%, 9% or more?” With this statement the reader has possibly identified themselves as an income investor, and but definitely established the fact that they are not a dividend growth investor.

Tracking Yield On Cost

Yield-on-cost (YOC) is simply Current Annual Dividend dividend by Original Cost Per Share. YOC not a substitute for calculating an internal rate of return (IRR). The IRR calculation takes into account both capital appreciation and the timing of cash flows (purchases, sells and dividends). However, as a dividend growth investor, my primary focus is on dividend growth and since my desired holding period is forever, capital appreciation is little more than an interesting side note. YOC is much better suited for tracking dividend growth since it is individually tied to a stock and takes into account all the variations of growth rates over time, along with the timing of purchases. Also, it is useful when trying to explain to our income investor brethren why we chose the stock yielding 3% over ‘Amalgamated Risk’ at 8%.

Recently, I modified my D4L-Data model to include projections of YOC after 5, 10, 15 and 20 years. These projections are derived by growing the current yield using the dividend growth rate. As for the dividend growth rate, I use the minimum of the 1, 3, 5, 7 or 10 year compound annual growth rates; or 15% if in every consecutive 4-year period dividends grew on average in excess of 15%.

20 Dividend Stocks With A 20% Yield In 20 Years

Sorting the stocks in my D4L-Data model by their 20 Year YOC and throwing out some bad apples, we are left with these 20 stocks that are projected to have a 20% YOC in 20 years:

Lowe’s Companies (LOW) | Analysis
- Current Yield: 1.29%
- Dividend Growth: 15.0%
- 20 Year YOC: 21.12%

McGrath RentCorp (MGRC) | Analysis
- Current Yield: 3.32%
- Dividend Growth: 10.26%
- 20 Year YOC: 23.40%

Fastenal Company (FAST)
- Current Yield: 1.46%
- Dividend Growth: 15.00%
- 20 Year YOC: 23.94%

Colgate-Palmolive (CL) | Analysis
- Current Yield: 2.41%
- Dividend Growth: 12.48%
- 20 Year YOC: 25.34%

C.H. Robinson (CHRW)
- Current Yield: 1.61%
- Dividend Growth: 15.00%
- 20 Year YOC: 26.32%

Canadian National (CNI)
- Current Yield: 1.75%
- Dividend Growth: 15.00%
- 20 Year YOC: 28.69%

Walgreen Company (WAG) | Analysis
– Current Yield: 1.57%
- Dividend Growth: 15.72%
- 20 Year YOC: 29.14%

Raven Industries (RAVN) | Analysis
- Current Yield: 1.81%
- Dividend Growth: 15.00%
- 20 Year YOC: 29.65%

Eaton Vance (EV)
- Current Yield: 1.82%
- Dividend Growth: 15.00%
- 20 Year YOC: 29.72%

HCC Insurance (HCC)
- Current Yield: 1.91%
- Dividend Growth: 15.00%
- 20 Year YOC: 31.30%

Becton, Dickinson (BDX) | Analysis
- Current Yield: 1.94%
- Dividend Growth: 15.00%
- 20 Year YOC: 31.72%

IBM (IBM)
- Current Yield: 1.94%
- Dividend Growth: 15.00%
- 20 Year YOC: 31.72%

United Technologies Corp. (UTX) | Analysis
- Current Yield: 2.05%
- Dividend Growth: 15.00%
- 20 Year YOC: 33.63%

Praxair, Inc. (PX)
- Current Yield: 2.15%
- Dividend Growth: 15.00%
- 20 Year YOC: 35.17%

Owens & Minor (OMI)
- Current Yield: 2.25%
- Dividend Growth: 15.12%
- 20 Year YOC: 37.55%

Linear Technology (LLTC)
- Current Yield: 2.93%
- Dividend Growth: 15.00%
- 20 Year YOC: 47.94%

McDonald’s Corp. (MCD) | Analysis
- Current Yield: 3.12%
- Dividend Growth: 15.00%
- 20 Year YOC: 51.01%

Nucor Corporation (NUE) | Analysis
- Current Yield: 3.18%
- Dividend Growth: 15.00%
- 20 Year YOC: 52.00%

Cardinal Health, Inc. (CAH) | Analysis
- Current Yield: 2.02%
- Dividend Growth: 17.65%
- 20 Year YOC: 52.06%

Meridian Bioscien (VIVO) | Analysis
- Current Yield: 3.40%
- Dividend Growth: 15.00%
- 20 Year YOC: 55.67%

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