Back in the 17th century, Sir Isaac Newton famously said that his great achievements were made possible by the fact that he "stood on the shoulders of giants."
No, this wasn't a gaggle of Gulliver's Brobdingnags, but rather giants of the mind: great scientists and mathematicians -- both Newton's predecessors and contemporaries -- who not only taught him fundamentals, but also challenged his mind to go one step further. The upshot is that even a natural genius like Newton didn't achieve mastery on his own. He had help.
Like Newton, we too must seek out the giants in our field if we plan to become master investors. And when it comes to investing in small cap companies, the first giant I look to for a boost is Chuck Akre, manager of the Akre Focus Fund.
Is he a baby giant?
Although the Akre Focus Fund only launched in September, Akre's been in the business 40 years. He recently opened up his own fund after resigning his as a sub-advisor and the founding manager of the very successful FBR Focus Fund.
During his 13 year tenure at FBR Focus, the fund generated 12.6% annualized returns and never trailed the S&P 500 in any rolling five-year period. That is, in a word, impressive. And it's proof enough that Akre is a giant worth listening to.
So what's Akre's secret to finding great stocks? According to his firm's website, it's as simple as:
- Select investment opportunities to preserve and grow capital.
- Develop a focused portfolio that seeks to identify "compounding machines."
- Invest for long term results, recognizing that volatility can create powerful opportunities.
Of course, nothing is as simple as it sounds. The first and second principles -- essentially finding companies with strong returns on capital and top-flight management trading at attractive valuations -- is difficult enough, but as we all found out during last year's panic, it's the third principle -- patience -- that's the most challenging for us individual investors.
Simon says
Raise your hand if you hastily sold an otherwise good investment during the market downturn. C'mon, fess up.
Yeah, I did, too. It's a mistake I've learned from and hope not to make again, for it's precisely because the small cap market is less-followed, less-liquid, and more-volatile than large caps that you need to have patience on your side. It can take years -- not months -- for your investment thesis to play out -- and for other investors to climb on board.
Akre lives this principle -- at the time of his resignation, the highly-successful FBR Focus fund had a portfolio turnover rate of just 17, meaning the average holding time for securities in the portfolio was just over five years, years which saw both low volatility and high volatility.
To put this figure in some perspective, the average domestic mutual fund has a turnover rate near 100% (or an average holding period of one year), which doesn't even sound all that bad when you consider how frequently the shares of these major companies turn over:
Company Average 3-Month Daily Volume Shares Outstanding Average Holding Time per Share Citigroup (NYSE: C) 513 million 22.9 billion 45 days Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) 51 million 4.7 billion 92 days Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) 208 million 8.6 billion 41 days Ford (NYSE: F) 82 million 3.3 billion 40 days Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) 41 million 1.1 billion 27 days
Twenty-seven days? Forty days?! That's not investing -- it's a game that, as small investors, we simply can't win, nor should we really want to.
What's the small investor to do?
In his most recent shareholder letter, Akre gave some advice for the small investor: "So, you ask, 'What do we do now?' Or perhaps, 'How should we be thinking about our investments?' The individual investor has a great advantage, in that he is able to think 'long term.' … We also believe that the only thing to focus on is the fundamentals of the individual assets (stocks, bonds etc.)."
So let's focus on some fundamentals. Taking a page from Akre, I screened for companies with:
- Market caps between $100 million and $2 billion
- Return on capital greater than 15% in each of the past three years
- Insider ownership greater than 5%
- Price to average five-year earnings per share under 20
Here are three of my results:
Company Market Cap 3-Year Average ROC Insider Ownership Price to Average 5-Year EPS Universal Travel Group(NYSE: UTA) $167 million 39% 24.4% 15.7 VSE Corp $215 million 29% 20.8% 14.8 Ambassadors Group(Nasdaq: EPAX) $229 million 26% 6.5% 10.4
It's an intriguing group of stocks. Universal Travel is a China-based travel and cargo transportation company, VSE provides logistics and information technology services primarily to U.S. government agencies, and Ambassadors Group organizes and promotes international travel programs for students and professionals.
All three appear to have economic tailwinds behind their businesses and certainly aren't trading for outrageous prices today. In short, they're ideal portfolio candidates for the patient investor.
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