Friday, June 11, 2010

LONDON Friday tips round-up: Home Retail, Premier Farnell, Go-Ahead

Date: Friday 11 Jun 2010

It was a tale of two divisions yesterday at Home Retail Group. While underlying sales declined by just 1.4% at the group's DIY chain Homebase, which was ahead of expectations, like-for-like sales tumbled by a disappointing 8.1% at its catalogue operation, Argos.

Home Retail's shares now trade on a 2011 forecast multiple of less than 10, which puts them at a nice discount to the retail sector, while speculation over a potential takeover bid, perhaps from the world of private equity, perhaps from Asda, is unlikely to go away. Worth a look for speculative buyers says the Independent.

To back
Premier Farnell is an investment in the global recovery in manufacturing investment — and in the track record of chief executvie Harriet Green. It is a company tied to the economic cycle and will suffer should recovery stall, notwithstanding its plans to diversify geographically.

The surge in the
share price sees the stock trading on 15 times this year’s earnings, but the yield still remains attractive at about 4% with the suggestion that if earnings keep going up so will the dividend. Hold says the Times.

Distributor Premier Farnell trades on a multiple of 15.4 times 2011 forecast earnings, which declines to 13.7 times on forecast 2012 earnings. The prospective yield remains solidly above 4%, which is better than what you get in the broader market. Put all that together and this company is a clear buy says the Independent.

Allocate makes software that helps clients to organise staff, focusing on the defence, maritime and healthcare markets. On an undemanding 11.1 times forecast 2012 earnings and with fund managers from Gartmore, Jupiter Asset Management and BlackRock all taking significant stakes. Buy says the Independent.

Hargreaves Services, the coal supply-chain group and owner of the Maltby Colliery in Yorkshire, has walked away from its mooted purchase of UK Coal. Trading on a May 2010 multiple of 7.5 falling to 6.2pc in 2011, the shares offer good value. Buy says the Telegraph.

Go-Ahead is one of the UK's largest bus operators. It has a fleet of more than 3,500 buses, which carry about 1.6m passengers every day. The company operates regulated services in London and the South East as well as deregulated services in places from Tyne and Wear in the North East to Brighton on the South Coast. The shares have been falling with the market since mid-April and they are now trading on a June 2010 earnings multiple of 10.3 times, falling to 10.1 next year and just 9 in 2012. This appears cheap. Buy says the Telegraph.

Logistics group Wincanton is trading on 11 times current earnings. That is plenty given that its business is tied to the trade winds that will continue to buffet Western Europe. It is easy from an investment point of view to let the Wincanton juggernaut pass for the time being says the Times.

Another day, another
Daisy deal. The small-cap corporate telecoms reseller, which has snapped up more than 30 companies over the past few years, has added the Northumberland-based mobile phone reseller Fone Logistics to its chain of assets for £3.6m. However, Daisy has a good track record in rolling up underperforming rivals and will no doubt be attractive to a larger rival once it achieves scale. With the shares ½p dearer at 96½p, the stock trades on an undemanding rating of 9.3 times FinnCap’s 2011 forecasts and looks good value if it keeps performing. Buy says the Times.



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