Wednesday, May 5, 2010

20 Dividend Stocks With A 20% Yield In 20 Years

20 Dividend Stocks With A 20% Yield In 20 Years

Sorting the stocks in my D4L-Data model by their 20 Year YOC and throwing out some bad apples, we are left with these 20 stocks that are projected to have a 20% YOC in 20 years:

Lowe’s Companies (LOW) | Analysis
- Current Yield: 1.29%
- Dividend Growth: 15.0%
- 20 Year YOC: 21.12%

McGrath RentCorp (MGRC) | Analysis
- Current Yield: 3.32%
- Dividend Growth: 10.26%
- 20 Year YOC: 23.40%

Fastenal Company (FAST)
- Current Yield: 1.46%
- Dividend Growth: 15.00%
- 20 Year YOC: 23.94%

Colgate-Palmolive (CL) | Analysis
- Current Yield: 2.41%
- Dividend Growth: 12.48%
- 20 Year YOC: 25.34%

C.H. Robinson (CHRW)
- Current Yield: 1.61%
- Dividend Growth: 15.00%
- 20 Year YOC: 26.32%

Canadian National (CNI)
- Current Yield: 1.75%
- Dividend Growth: 15.00%
- 20 Year YOC: 28.69%

Walgreen Company (WAG) | Analysis
– Current Yield: 1.57%
- Dividend Growth: 15.72%
- 20 Year YOC: 29.14%

Raven Industries (RAVN) | Analysis
- Current Yield: 1.81%
- Dividend Growth: 15.00%
- 20 Year YOC: 29.65%

Eaton Vance (EV)
- Current Yield: 1.82%
- Dividend Growth: 15.00%
- 20 Year YOC: 29.72%

HCC Insurance (HCC)
- Current Yield: 1.91%
- Dividend Growth: 15.00%
- 20 Year YOC: 31.30%

Becton, Dickinson (BDX) | Analysis
- Current Yield: 1.94%
- Dividend Growth: 15.00%
- 20 Year YOC: 31.72%

IBM (IBM)
- Current Yield: 1.94%
- Dividend Growth: 15.00%
- 20 Year YOC: 31.72%

United Technologies Corp. (UTX) | Analysis
- Current Yield: 2.05%
- Dividend Growth: 15.00%
- 20 Year YOC: 33.63%

Praxair, Inc. (PX)
- Current Yield: 2.15%
- Dividend Growth: 15.00%
- 20 Year YOC: 35.17%

Owens & Minor (OMI)
- Current Yield: 2.25%
- Dividend Growth: 15.12%
- 20 Year YOC: 37.55%

Linear Technology (LLTC)
- Current Yield: 2.93%
- Dividend Growth: 15.00%
- 20 Year YOC: 47.94%

McDonald’s Corp. (MCD) | Analysis
- Current Yield: 3.12%
- Dividend Growth: 15.00%
- 20 Year YOC: 51.01%

Nucor Corporation (NUE) | Analysis
- Current Yield: 3.18%
- Dividend Growth: 15.00%
- 20 Year YOC: 52.00%

Cardinal Health, Inc. (CAH) | Analysis
- Current Yield: 2.02%
- Dividend Growth: 17.65%
- 20 Year YOC: 52.06%

Meridian Bioscien (VIVO) | Analysis
- Current Yield: 3.40%
- Dividend Growth: 15.00%
- 20 Year YOC: 55.67%

One key component of current yield is risk. If Treasuries (risk free) were paying 7%, 8% or 9%, many income investors and a significant number of dividend growth investors would divert a portion of their portfolios to them.

You will note that all the above stocks are yielding well under 4%. It is also important to note that I do not believe that all the above stocks will achieve their 20 year YOC. In much the same way high-yielding stocks often end up cutting their dividends, many of the above stocks will end up cutting their dividend growth rate. Put another way, there is risk associated low-yield high-dividend-growth stocks. However, for the high dividend growth stocks that perform well over the next 20 years, the rewards are potentially much higher than those of a high-yield, low growth stock.

Full Disclosure: Long CNI, UTX, MCD, NUE. See a list of all my income holdings here.

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