Friday, July 23, 2010

Microsoft Splashes, Shares Dip (BUY)

As analysts had been expecting ahead of Microsoft Corp.’s (MSFT: 25.84 0.00 0.00%) earnings report for its fiscal 4th quarter and fiscal 2010 year-end, the company managed solid positive surprises on both the top and bottom lines after the closing bell Thursday. Fourth quarter EPS of 51 cents on company-record revenues of $16.04 billion beat the Zacks Consensus Estimates by 10.87% and 5.04%, respectively.
For Microsoft’s fiscal year-end, the company posted EPS of $2.10 per share, topping the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4 cents. Revenues of $62.48 billion in the fiscal year are also an all-time record for Microsoft. The company’s CFO and COO cited strength where analysts had generally been looking for it: in its Windows 7 operating system, which has sold 175 million licenses thus far, and in its Bing search engine, which enjoyed its 13th straight month of increased market share.


Microsoft shares had been down roughly 15% year-to-date prior to Thursday’s trading session, where investors were generally optimistic about Microsoft’s potential results. MSFT shares closed up 72 cents, or 2.87%. After-hours trading has been notably reserved, however; shares have dipped as much as 22 cents since the company’s earnings beat. Have the recent murmurs about CEO Steve Ballmer being under pressure from within the company overshadowed today’s successful showing? Or do investors feel the gains made during the day priced in the good news?
Analysts have been generally optimistic in the past month regarding Microsoft’s earnings. Five analysts had upwardly revised earnings estimates for the quarter — and five for the fiscal year — in the past 30 days. However, the magnitude of earnings revisions were another story: the 46 cents per share consensus estimate was up only a penny from where it was at the beginning of the quarter. 

Overall Summary: 25%, Bullish
 75%, Bearish
    Trade Quality: Upside  30%, Poor
Downside  80%, 


 Analysts' Targets
 Barclays Capital$30 
    Overweight
    Wednesday, July 21, 2010
 Argus Research$32 
    Sell
    Thursday, May 27, 2010
 Caris & Company$37 
    Above Average
    Friday, May 14, 2010
 McAdams, Wright & Ragen$38 
    Buy
    Friday, April 23, 2010
 UBS Securities$38 
    Add
    Friday, April 23, 2010
 Credit Suisse$40 
    Hold
    Friday, April 23, 2010
 Soleil Group$34 
    Buy
    Thursday, April 08, 2010
 Citigroup$31 
    Buy
    Wednesday, February 17, 2010
 RBC Capital Markets$36 
    Outperform
    Tuesday, January 12, 2010

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