Friday, November 27, 2009

FRIDAY MARKET COMMENTARY

The STOCK INDEXES http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=indexes

The December NASDAQ 100 closed sharply lower on Friday over Dubai's financial concerns. The NASDAQ 100 was sharply
lower on Friday as news that Dubai is attempting to reschedule its debt. The specter of default from Dubai's government
triggered today's sell off as traders moved money out of equities into safer investments. A short covering rally during the day
session tempered early session losses and the mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and
the RSI remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day
moving average crossing at 1755.41 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If December renews this month's
rally, the 75% retracement level of the 2007-2008-decline crossing at 1947.00 is the next upside target. First resistance is last
Thursday's high crossing at 1793.50. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the 2007-2008-decline crossing at
1947.00. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1755.41. Second support is today's low crossing at 1722.25.

The December S&P 500 index closed sharply lower on Friday as investors dumped equity positions in favor of more safe have
investments over financial concerns in Dubai. A short covering rally tempered early session losses and the mid-range close sets
the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are neutral to bearish signaling that
additional weakness is possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1083.03 would confirm that a
short-term top has been posted. If December renews this month's rally, the 50% retracement level of the 2007-2008-decline
crossing at 1112.80 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Wednesday's high crossing at 1103.20. Second resistance is
the 50% retracement level of the 2007-2008-decline crossing at 1112.80. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at
1083.03. Second support is today's low crossing at 1066.90.

The Dow closed lower on Friday due to Dubai financial concerns. However, a short covering rally tempered early session losses
and the mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are neutral
to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 10196
would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If the Dow extends this month's rally, the 62% retracement level of the
2007-2008-decline crossing at 11249 is the next upside target. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 10495. Second
resistance is the 62% retracement level of the 2007-2008-decline crossing at 11249. First support is today's low crossing at
10231. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 10196.

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INTEREST RATES
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December T-bonds closed up 1-00/32's at 123-06.

December T-bonds closed sharply higher in a flight-to-quality move on the part of investors on Friday as the financial crisis in
Dubai shook investor confidence. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and
the RSI are overbought but remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends
this month's rally, October's high crossing at 123-25 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average
crossing at 120-01 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 123-04.
Second resistance is October's high crossing at 123-25. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 121-04. Second
support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 120-01.
ENERGY MARKETS
http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=energy

January crude oil closed lower on Friday as investors traded positions in commodities for more safe haven investments. A short
covering rally tempered early session losses and the mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. If
January extends this week's decline, the 75% retracement level of this fall's rally crossing at 70.23 is the next downside target.
Closes above Monday's high crossing at 79.92 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-
day moving average crossing at 77.94. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 78.64. First support is
today's low crossing at 72.39. Second support is the 75% retracement level of this fall's rally crossing at 70.23.

January heating oil closed lower due to profit taking on Friday as it consolidates below the 10-day moving average crossing at
203.51. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning
bullish hinting that a short-term low might be in or is near. Closes above Monday's high crossing at 208.05 are needed to
confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If January extends this week's decline, the 75% retracement level of this fall's
rally crossing at 186.43 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 203.51. Second
resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 205.72. First support is today's low crossing at 191.03. Second support is
the 75% retracement level of this fall's rally crossing at 186.43.

January unleaded gas closed lower on Friday and spiked below trading range support before a short covering rally tempered
early session losses. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI
remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. From a broad perspective, January
needs to close above October's high crossing at 211.73 or below the reaction low crossing at 193.44 to confirm a breakout of
the aforementioned trading range and point the direction of the next trending move. First resistance is the reaction high crossing
at 207.85. Second resistance is October's high crossing at 211.73. First support is the reaction low crossing at 193.44. Second
support is today's low crossing at 188.90.

January Henry natural gas closed higher on Friday and spiked above the 38% retracement level of the October-November
decline crossing at 5.212. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the
RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If January extends this week's rally, the 50%
retracement level of the October-November decline crossing at 5.413 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving
average crossing at 4.874 would temper the near-term friendly outlook in the market. First resistance is today's high crossing at
5.290. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the October-November decline crossing at 5.413. First support is last
week's low crossing at 4.560. Second support is weekly support crossing at 3.864.
CURRENCIES

The December Dollar closed higher on Friday due to technical short covering and flight-to-quality buying. However, profit
taking tempered early session gains and the low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics
and the RSI are diverging but are neutral to bearish signaling that additional weakness is possible near-term. If December
extends this month's decline, weekly support crossing at 73.39 is the next downside target. Closes above last Friday's high
crossing at 76.50 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 75.67.
Second resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 76.50. First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 74.21. Second support is
weekly support crossing at 73.39.

The December Euro closed lower on Friday due to profit taking, which was triggered by Dubai financial concerns. A short
covering rally tempered early session losses and the mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics
and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends this
year's rally, the 87% retracement level of 2008's decline crossing at 151.492 is the next upside target. Closes below last
Friday's low crossing at 147.990 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Wednesday's high
crossing at 151.430. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of 2008's decline crossing at 151.492. First support is
today's low crossing at 148.270. Second support is last Friday's low crossing at 147.990.

The December British Pound closed sharply lower on Friday as it extended this week's decline. A short covering rally tempered
early session losses and the mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain
neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends this week's decline, this
month's low crossing at 1.6258 is the next downside target. If December renews the rally off October's low, August's high
crossing at 1.7028 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Monday's high crossing at 1.6839. Second resistance is
August's high crossing at 1.7028. First support is today's low crossing at 1.6270. Second support is this month's low crossing
at 1.6258.

The December Swiss Franc closed sharply lower due to profit taking on Friday as it consolidated some of Wednesday's rally.
A short covering rally tempered early session losses and the mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday.
Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December
extends this month's rally, the 2008 high crossing at .10400 is the next upside target. Closes below last Friday's low crossing at
.9782 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at .10090. Second
resistance is the 2008 high crossing at .10400. First support is today's low crossing at .9826. Second support is last Friday's
low crossing at .9782.

The December Canadian Dollar closed lower due to profit taking on Friday as it consolidated some of this week's rally. The
mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bullish signaling that
sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December renews this month's rally, October's high crossing at 97.98 is the
next upside target. Closes below last Friday's low crossing at 93.17 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted.
First resistance is last Thursday's high crossing at 95.99. Second resistance is October's high crossing at 97.98. First support is
today's low crossing at 93.01. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 92.74.

The December Japanese Yen closed higher on Friday as it extends Wednesday's breakout above October's high. Profit taking
tempered early session gains and the low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and
the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that additional gains are possible. Closes below the 20-day
moving average crossing at .11180 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high
crossing at .11790. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at .11274. Second support is the 20-day moving
average crossing at .11180.

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PRECIOUS METALS
http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=metals

December gold closed lower due to profit taking on Friday as it consolidated some of this month's rally. The high-range close
sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish
signaling that additional gains are possible near-term. If December extends this year's rally into uncharted territory, upside
targets will be hard to project. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1119.80 are needed to confirm that a short-
term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 1195.00. First support is today's low crossing at 1130.10.
Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1119.80.

December silver closed lower due to profit taking on Friday as it consolidated some of this month's rally. The mid-range close
sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bearish hinting that a short-term top might
be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 17.761 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has
been posted. If December extends this month's rally, the July 2008 high crossing at 20.125 is the next upside target. First
resistance is Monday's high crossing at 18.935. Second resistance is the July 2008 high crossing at 20.125. First support is the
20-day moving average crossing at 17.761. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 17.025.

December copper closed lower due to profit taking on Friday as it consolidates below the 75% retracement level of the 2008
decline crossing at 316.28. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are
neutral to bearish hinting that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at
302.98 are needed to confirm that a top has been posted. If December extends this year's rally, the 87% retracement level of the
2008-decline crossing at 347.14 is the next upside target. First resistance is today's high crossing at 319.55. Second resistance
is the 87% retracement level of the 2008-decline crossing at 347.14. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at
302.98. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 293.00.
FOOD & FIBER
http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=food

December coffee closed lower due to profit taking on Friday as it consolidated some of Wednesday's rally. The high-range close
sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to
higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends this week's rally, the reaction high crossing at 14.40 is the next
upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at 13.60 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been
posted.

December cocoa gapped down and closed lower on Friday as it consolidated some of the rally off this month's low. The high-
range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that
sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends this week's rally, the reaction high crossing at 33.15 is
the next upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at 31.79 would confirm that a short-term top has been
posted.

March sugar closed higher due to short covering on Friday and the high-range close set the stage for a steady to higher opening
on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-
term. If March extends this fall's decline, October's low crossing at 21.18 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day
moving average crossing at 22.77 are needed to temper the near-term bearish outlook.

December cotton closed lower due to profit taking on Friday as it consolidated some of this month's rally. The mid-range close
sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to
higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends this fall's rally, the 50% retracement level of the 2008-decline
crossing at 73.41 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 68.45 would confirm that a
short-term top has been posted.
GRAINS
http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=grains

December Corn closed up 5 1/4-cents at 3.97 1/4.

December corn closed higher on Friday and above the 10-day moving average crossing at 3.93. The high-range close sets the
stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral hinting that sideways to higher
prices are possible near-term. Closes above Monday's high crossing at 4.02 3/4 would confirm that a short-term low has been
posted. If December extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 3.66 is the next downside target. First resistance is
Monday's high crossing at 4.02 3/4. Second resistance is October's high crossing at 4.13. First support is Tuesday's low
crossing at 3.75. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 3.66.

December wheat closed down 1 1/4-cents at 5.48 3/4.

December wheat closed lower on Friday as it consolidates below the 10-day moving average. The high-range close sets the stage
for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are
possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 5.35 3/4 are needed to confirm that a short-term top
has been posted. If December renews this month's rally, August's high crossing at 5.84 1/2 is the next upside target. First
resistance is Monday's gap crossing at 5.56 1/2. Second resistance is last week's high crossing at 5.81. First support is the 20-
day moving average crossing at 5.35 3/4. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 4.96 1/2.

December Kansas City Wheat closed down 3 3/4-cents at 5.42 3/4.

December Kansas City Wheat closed lower due to profit taking on Friday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to
higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-
term. Closes below Tuesday's low crossing at 5.28 1/2 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If December
renews this month's rally, August's high crossing at 6.03 is the next upside target. First resistance is Monday's gap crossing at
5.53 1/2. Second resistance is last week's high crossing at 5.79. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 5.28 1/2. Second
support is the reaction low crossing at 5.00 1/4.

December Minneapolis wheat closed up 2-cents at 5.53 3/4.

December Minneapolis wheat closed higher due to short covering on Friday as it consolidated some of this week's decline. The
high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that
additional weakness is possible near-term. If December extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 5.18 is the next
downside target. If December renews this fall's rally, the 38% retracement level of this summer's decline crossing at 6.05 is the
next upside target. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 5.62 1/4. Second resistance is the 38% retracement
level of this summer's decline crossing at 6.05. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 5.39 1/4. Second support is the
reaction low crossing at 5.17 3/4.

SOYBEAN COMPLEX

January soybeans closed down 1 1/2-cents at 10.53.

January soybeans closed lower due to profit taking on Friday but the high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher
opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bullish signaling that additional gains are still possible near-
term. If January extends this week's rally, June's high crossing at 11.04 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day
moving average crossing at 10.07 1/4 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Monday's high
crossing at 10.66. Second resistance is June's high crossing at 11.04. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at
10.33 1/4. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 10.07 1/4.

December soybean meal closed up $8.50 at $326.50.

December soybean meal closed higher on Friday as it extends this month's rally. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady
to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to
higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends this month's rally, June's high crossing at 341.50 is the next upside
target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 304.80 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First
resistance is today's high crossing at 329.00. Second resistance is June's high crossing at 341.50. First support is the 10-day
moving average crossing at 313.50. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 304.80.

December soybean oil closed down 47 pts. at 40.10.

December soybean oil closed lower due to profit taking on Friday as it consolidated some of this month's rally. The high-range
close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging but are turning bullish
signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends this month's rally, June's high crossing at
41.38 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 38.55 are needed to confirm that a short-
term top has been posted. First resistance is Wednesday's high crossing at 40.62. Second resistance is June's high crossing at
41.38. First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 39.05. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 38.55.
LIVESTOCK
http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=livestock

December hogs closed down $0.40 at $59.02.

December hogs closed lower due to profit taking on Friday as it consolidated some of this week's rally. The low-range close sets
the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to
higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends this fall's rally, the 38% retracement level of the 2008-2009-decline
crossing at 62.12 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 56.77 are needed to confirm
that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Wednesday's high crossing at 60.10. Second resistance is the 38%
retracement level of the 2008-2009-decline crossing at 62.12. First support is Monday's gap crossing at 57.85. Second support
is the 10-day moving average crossing at 57.18.

February bellies closed down $0.23 at $86.75.

February bellies closed lower due to profit taking on Friday ending a two-day short covering rally. The mid-range close sets the
stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral signaling that sideways trading is possible
near-term. If February extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 83.20 is the next downside target. Closes above
last week's high crossing at 89.30 would renew this month's rally. First resistance is last week's high crossing at 89.30. Second
resistance is October's high crossing at 91.70. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 84.80. Second support is the reaction
low crossing at 83.20.

December cattle closed down $0.48 at 83.20.

December cattle gapped down and closed lower due to profit taking on Friday as it extended this week's decline. The mid-range
close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to
lower prices are possible near-term. If December renews this month's decline, weekly support crossing at 81.80 is the next
downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 84.36 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has
been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 84.36. Second resistance is Monday's high crossing at
84.47. First support is the reaction low crossing at 82.80. Second support is weekly support crossing at 81.80.

January feeder cattle closed down $0.80 at $92.50.

January Feeder cattle closed lower due to profit taking on Friday as it consolidated some of this week's rally. The mid-range
close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to
higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 93.91 would confirm that a short-
term low has been posted. If January renews this month's decline, weekly support crossing at 92.35 is the next downside target.


____________________________________________________________________________

E X T R E M E F U T U R E S
____________________________________________________________________________

Updated every 10 minutes around the clock.
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WINNERS

BCX.V10 CBOT SOYBEAN CRUSH INDEX Oct 2010 75.25 5.25 +7.84
SM.Z09 SOYBEAN MEAL Dec 2009 326.5 8.5 +2.67
YC.H10 CORN (MINI) Mar 2010 413.5 5.5 +1.35
C.H10 CORN Mar 2010 413.50 5.50 +1.35
LH.K10 LEAN HOGS May 2010 75.300 0.725 +0.97
US.H10 T-BONDS Mar 2010 122.6250 1.0625 +0.87
ND.Z09 NASDAQ 100 INDEX Dec 2009 1759.25 12.25 +0.68
LB.N10 LUMBER (RANDOM LENGTH) Jul 2010 257.5 1.5 +0.59
TY.H10 10 YEAR T-NOTES Mar 2010 119.875000 0.656250 +0.55
SP.Z09 S&P 500 INDEX Dec 2009 1089.5 4.6 +0.41

LOSERS

SMP.Z10 S&P SMALLCAP 600 Dec 2010 298.3 -8.6 -2.80
VB RUSSELL 2000 VALUE INDEX 799.82 -22.66 -2.76
AD.Z09 AUSTRALIAN $ Dec 2009 0.9052 -0.0249 -2.69
GH RUSSELL 2000 GROWTH INDEX 316.51 -7.42 -2.29
MD.Z10 S&P MIDCAP 400 INDEX Dec 2010 672.4 -15.4 -2.24
RU.M10 RUSSIAN RUBLE Jun 2010 0.03285 -0.00068 -2.03
NK.Z09 NIKKEI 225 INDEX Dec 2009 9220 -190 -2.01
ND.U10 NASDAQ 100 INDEX Sep 2010 1754.75 -35.00 -1.96
SI.Z09 SILVER Dec 2009 18.302 -0.363 -1.94
EMX MSCI EMERGING MARKETS INDEX 940.64 -17.34 -1.79

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WINNERS

FHNIY FOSCHINI GROUP LTD S 15.250 3.660 +30.50
VRMLQ VERMILLION INC 21.4 2.3 +12.04
FOJCY FORTUM OYJ 5.50 0.55 +11.11
QLT QLT INC 5.04 0.49 +10.77
MGPI MGP INGREDIENTS INSURED 6.48 0.61 +10.39
DEER DEER CONSUMER PRODUCTS 18.17 1.35 +8.03
APWR A-POWER ENERGY GENERATION 17.582 1.282 +7.87
WLWHY WOOLWORTHS HOLDINGS GDR 22.44 1.59 +7.63
FMO.UN FOREMOST INDUSTRIES INCOME FUND 6.46 0.43 +7.13
APLVF AP ALTERNATIVE UNITS 7.00 0.45 +6.87

LOSERS

ING ING GROUP NV 9.82 -2.46 -20.03
VENGF VENTANA GOLD CORP 9.0360 -2.1968 -19.56
TTGT TECHTARGET INC 5.31 -0.89 -14.35
VEN VENTANA GOLD CORP 9.76 -1.47 -13.09
WF WOORI FINANCE HOLDINGS CO 35.8499 -4.7901 -11.79
ORCC ONLINE RESOURCES CORP 5.28 -0.65 -10.96
VCBP VALLEY COMMER BANCORP CA 5.80 -0.70 -10.77
IOSP INNOSPEC INC 9.45 -1.07 -10.17
OXBT OXYGEN BIOTHERAPEUTICS 5.40 -0.60 -10.00
GAIA GAIAM INC CL A 6.73 -0.69 -9.30

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